Warnings from 1940

August 14th, 2011 No Comments »
It's remarkable how some people seem to never learn from history.

In every single case before the rise of totalitarian governments there had been a period dominated by economic planners. Each of these nations had an era under starry-eyed men who believed that they could plan and force the economic life of the people. They believed that was the way to correct abuse or to meet emergencies in systems of free enterprise. They exalted the State as the solvent of all economic problems.

These men thought they were liberals. But they also thought they could have economic dictatorship by bureaucracy and at the same time preserve free speech, orderly justice and free government. They were the spiritual fathers of the New Deal.

These men are not Communists or Fascists. But they mixed these ideas into free systems. It is true that Communists and Fascists were round about. They formed popular fronts and gave the applause. These men shifted the relation of government to free enterprise from that of umpire to controller. Directly or indirectly they politically controlled credit, prices, production of industry, farmer and laborer. They devalued, pump-primed and deflated. They controlled private business by government competition, by regulation and by taxes. They met every failure with demands for more and more power and control ... When it was too late they discovered that every time they stretched the arm of government into private enterprise, except to correct abuse, then somehow, somewhere,  men's minds became confused. At once men became fearful and hesitant. Initiative slackened, industry slowed down production.

Then came chronic unemployment and frantic government spending in an effort to support the unemployed. Government debts mounted and finally government credit was undermined. Out of the miseries of their people there grew pressure groups - business, labor, farmers demanding relief or special privilege. Class hate poisoned cooperation.

-- Herbert Hoover

The origin of self-contradiction

April 23rd, 2010 2 Comments »

原来self contradiction是自Karl Marx之时就存在的传统啊。口口声声要消灭阶级对立的一个人居然不知道应该如何定义阶级?

资本论,Das Kapital, Chapter 52. Classes

“... The first question to he answered is this: What constitutes a class? — and the reply to this follows naturally from the reply to another question, namely: What makes wage-labourers, capitalists and landlords constitute the three great social classes? ...”

然后是Engels的注释。

[Here the manuscript breaks off.]

假设--*假设*--Marx同学只是没有想清楚应该怎么定义他的的阶级理论吧 (虽然其他文献suggest Marx停止写作之时距他逝世还有10年以上的时间)。那么他的信徒们为什么也没能完成这位革命导师未竟的任务呢?一个fundamentally flawed的theory是怎么被当成self-evident的truth被传播的?

“没有调查,就没有发言权”

April 10th, 2010 5 Comments »

就算一个人没有时间调查,至少也该有时间思考下某些结论是不是合理吧。

只列(正常民工的)税收数据不推结论,因为我没时间具体分析其他case。

China
Income            120,000
Total Income Tax   37,725 [1]
% after tax         68.6%

U.S. (assuming that the work location is CA)
Income             75,000
Federal Income Tax 13,506 [2]
Social Security     4,650 [3]
Medicare            1,072 [3]
CA State Tax        5,000 [3]
CA SDI                825 [3]
Total              25,053
% after tax         66.6%

注意几个问题,a) 这里没有考虑到CA 9%的销售税,b) US 75,000只是household的top 25% [4] ,而中国即使在考虑隐性收入之后也应在15%之上, c) 我觉得我高估了中国民工的收入&低估了美国民工的收入。

如果我遗漏了什么地方麻烦指正,谢谢。

Links:

[1] http://finance.21cn.com/bank/computer/tax.html
[2] http://www.dinkytown.net/java/Tax1040.html
[3] http://www.paycheckcity.com/NetPayCalc/netpaycalculator.asp
[4] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Household_income_in_the_United_States